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2.Inthecontextinwhichitappears,theword¡°manipulate¡±mostnearlymeans

A.influenceB.overseeC.coerceD.deceive

E.outmaneuver

´ð°¸£ºAE

Passage40

Asoflate1980s,neithertheoristsnorlarge-scalecomputerclimatemodelscouldaccuratelypredictwhethercloudsystemswouldhelporhurtawarmingglobe.Somestudiessuggestedthatafourpercentincreaseinstratocumuluscloudsovertheoceancouldcompensateforadoublinginatmosphericcarbondioxide,preventingapotentiallydisastrousplanetwidetemperatureincrease.Ontheotherhand,anincreaseincirruscloudscouldincreaseglobalwarming.

Thatcloudsrepresentedtheweakestelementinclimatemodelswasillustratedbyastudyoffourteensuchmodels.Comparingclimateforecastsforaworldwithdoublethecurrentamountofcarbondioxide,researchersfoundthatthemodelsagreedquitewellifcloudswerenotincluded.Butwhencloudswereincorporated,awiderangeofforecastswasproduced.Withsuchdiscrepanciesplaguingthemodels,scientistscouldnoteasilypredicthowquicklytheworld¡¯sclimatewouldchange,norcouldtheytellwhichregionswouldfacedustierdroughtsordeadliermonsoons.

1.TheauthorofthepassageisprimarilyconcernedwithA.confirmingatheoryB.supportingastatement

C.presentingnewinformationD.predictingfuturediscoveriesE.comparingpointsofview

2.Itcanbeinferredthatonereasonthefourteenmodelsdescribedinthepassagefailedtoagreewasthat

A.theyfailedtoincorporatethemostup-to-dateinformationabouttheeffectofcloudsonclimate

B.theywerebasedonfaultyinformationaboutfactorsotherthancloudsthataffectclimate

C.theywerebasedondifferentassumptionsabouttheoveralleffectsofcloudsonclimate

D.theiroriginatorsdisagreedaboutthekindsofforecaststhemodelsshouldprovide

E.theiroriginatorsdisagreedaboutthefactorsotherthancloudsthatshouldbeincludedinthemodels

3.Theinformationinthepassagesuggeststhatscientistswouldhaveto

37answerwhichofthefollowingquestionsinordertopredicttheeffectofcloudsonthewarmingoftheglobe?

A.WhatkindsofcloudsystemswillformovertheEarth?

B.Howcancloudsystemsbeencouragedtoformovertheocean?

C.Whatarethecausesoftheprojectedplanetwidetemperatureincrease?

D.Whatproportionofcloudsystemsarecurrentlycomposedofcirrusclouds?

E.Whatproportionofthecloudsintheatmosphereformoverlandmasses?

´ð°¸£ºBCA

Passage41

ManytheoristsnowdoubtthatheatlossfromEarth¡¯scoreandradioactivedecayaresufficientbythemselvestoproducealltheenergydrivingthetectonicplateswhosemovementshavehelpedshapedEarth¡¯ssurface.Thisleavesalooseendincurrentgeologicaltheory.HerbertShawarguesthatbecausescientistshaveunderestimatedtheinputofsubstantialamountsofenergyfromextraterrestrialimpactors(asteroidsandcometsstrikingEarth),theyhavedifficultyaccountingforthedifferencebetweenthequantityofenergyproducedfromsourcesintrinsictoEarthandthatinvolvedinplatetectonics.WhereasmostgeologistshavetreatedtheadditionofenergythroughthebombardmentofEarth¡¯ssurfacebysuchimpactorsasaprocessseparateandindependentfromthemovementofEarth¡¯stectonicplates,Shawassertsthattheseprocessesareindivisible.Shaw¡¯srevolutionary¡°open-system¡±viewrecognizesacontinuumbetweenterrestrialandextraterrestrialdynamics,whereasmodernplatetectonictheory,liketheclassicalgeologydevelopedduringthenineteenthcentury,isfoundedontheviewthatEarth¡¯sgeologicalfeatureshavechangedthroughgradual,regularprocessesintrinsictoEarth,withoutreferencetouniquecatastrophicevents.Classicalgeologyborrowedadecisive,ifunspoken,premisefromNewton¡ªtheindependenceofEarth¡¯sprocessesfromanyastronomicalcontext.

1.Theauthor¡¯sprimarypurposeisto

A.identifytheinfluencesinformingaparticulargeologicaltheoryabouttheprocessesthathaveshapedEarth¡¯ssurface

B.identifydifferencesbetweentwoviewsoftheextraterrestrialimpactorsandarguesthatthephenomenonhasinfluencedthedevelopmentofplatetectonictheory

C.arguethatanexplanationisbasedonadubiousevidenceandproposeanalternativeexplanation

D.discussanexplanationandplacethatexplanationundertheoreticalcontext

E.suggestthatapparentdiscrepancyposesaseriousproblemfora

38particulartheorythatmanyhavebelieved

2.Theauthorofthepassagementionsthe¡°continuum¡±inorderto

A.pointoutarelationshipbetweenplatetectonicsandthe

nineteenth-centurygeology

B.explainhowatheoryofNewton¡¯scouldinfluencegeologyandplatetectonictheory.

C.distinguishbetweentwosourcesofenergythatcontributedtothedevelopmentofEarth¡¯ssurface.

D.pointoutasimilaritybetweenthesurfaceofimpactorsandthesurfaceofEarth.

E.identifyafeatureofShaw¡¯sviewthatdeviatesfromcurrentscientifictheories.

3.Thepassagesuggestswhichofthefollowingabouttectonictheory?A.IthasledscientiststooverlookanimportantcontributiontoclassicalgeologistsfromNewton.

B.Ithasbeenmoresuccessfulthanwasclassicalgeologyinaccountingforheatlossfrom.

C.ItisbasedonpremiseaboutEarth¡¯sprocessesdiscernedinNewton¡¯sthought.

D.IthascorrectlyexplainedtheeffectsofextraterrestrialimpactorsonEarth¡¯ssurface.

E.Itcorrectsafundamentalflawinclassicalgeology.

´ð°¸£ºDEC

Passage42

HumanimpactsonthenaturalenvironmentduringthelaterpartoftheHolocene(beginningabout4,000yearsago)complicateinvestigationsintoenvironmentalchangeduringthatperiodbecausethesignalsproducedbyhuman-andclimate-inducedchangearesometimesdifficulttoseparate.Forexample,inthelaterHolocene,oneindicatorofincreasedaridityduetoclimatechangeisanincreaseinpollenfromgrasses,asforestvegetationgiveswaytograssland.Suchachangeinvegetationcouldalternativelybeattributedtohumanimpactintheformofagriculturaldevelopment.Examplesofsuchhumanimpactfrom4,000yearsagowouldbesmall-scale,however,sincethebroadecosystemchangesbroughtaboutbythewidespreadadoptionofagriculturaltechnologiesoccurredlater.

1.Whichofthefollowingbestdescribesthefunctionofthehighlightedsentenceinthecontextofthepassageasawhole?

A.Itprovidesanexampleofthekindofproblemsthatoftencomplicateinvestigationsintoenvironmentalchange.

B.ItcallintoquestionthereliabilityoftheestablisheddatesforlaterHoloceneagriculturaldevelopment.

C.ItdescribesthenatureoflocalizedagriculturaldevelopmentsduringthelaterHolocene.

39D.Itoutlinesahypothesisthatdrawsonevidencediscussedearlierinthepassage.

E.Itlimitsthescopeofaparticularcomplicationmentionedearlierinthepassage.

2.Accordingtothepassage,whichofthefollowingistrueregardingenvironmentalchanges4,000yearsago?

A.Nolocalizedincreasesingrasspollenwerecausedbyagriculturaldevelopment.

B.Increasesingrasspollenwereatleastsometimesareflectionofanincreaseinaridity.

C.Wholesaleecosystemchangesprobablyresultedfromagriculturaldevelopment.

D.Anysmall-scalechangesoccurringthenwouldnotbedetectablenow.

E.Environmentalchangehelpedinducetheadoptionofagriculturaltechnologies.

´ð°¸£ºEB

Passage43

Meggersarguedthatagriculturedependsonextractingnutrientsfromsoilsintoediblecrops,sopremodernsocietiesinAmazoniacouldnevergrowlargebecauseunderlyingsoilsareimpoverished.InMeggers¡¯viewthepopulationsizethataculturecouldreachdependedupontheagriculturalpotentialofitsenvironment.MeggersacceptedthatfishandturtleresourcesoftheAmazonmadepossiblethelongriversidevillagestheexplorerOrellanadescribedin1542,butshedismissedasexaggeratedCarvajal¡¯sestimatesoftensofthousandsofpeopleinthosesettlements,andshewassurethosesettlementsdidnothaveinlandcounterparts.Supportingthispoint,theOmagua,ariverbankpeopleandoneofthegreatestchiefdomsobservedbyCarvajalasamemberofOrellana¡¯sexpedition,regardedhinterlandforestsasunpopulatedwilderness.

1.Inthecontextofthepassagethehighlightedsentenceservesto

A.explainthebroaderrationaleforaconclusiondescribedintheprecedingsentence

B.suggestsomeofthedrawbacksoftheriverbanklocationofthevillagesdescribedinthefollowingsentence

C.acknowledgeinformationthatappearstoundermineadescriptionattributedtoOrellana

D.introduceaprinciplethatappearstobecontradictedbytheagriculturaldevelopmentofpremodernAmazonia

E.giveareasonforanupwardrevisioninearlierestimatesforpremodernAmazonia

2.FromthepassageitcanbeinferredthatOmaguadependedonA.overlandtransporttocommunicatebetweenvillages

40